In this article, I want to draw attention to a class of cases that is ignored, sometimes deliberately, in the debate about the probative value of naked statistical evidence (NSE). I am talking about cases in which «statistical» propositions are the principal subject of proof. I will show that they are legally relevant and remain immune to the arguments against NSE put forward in the evidence literature. All of this, I will conclude, makes it convenient to pay more attention to them. First, I will highlight the hypothetical cases discussed in the NSE debate and the kind of propositions that must be proved in them: «singular» propositions. Second, I will show that there are other cases, also relevant in legal systems, in which the principal factum probandum are «statistical» propositions. Third, I will argue that this difference is substantial for the NSE debate.
A missing piece in the debate about naked statistical evidence
Giles, Alejo Joaquin
2023-01-01
Abstract
In this article, I want to draw attention to a class of cases that is ignored, sometimes deliberately, in the debate about the probative value of naked statistical evidence (NSE). I am talking about cases in which «statistical» propositions are the principal subject of proof. I will show that they are legally relevant and remain immune to the arguments against NSE put forward in the evidence literature. All of this, I will conclude, makes it convenient to pay more attention to them. First, I will highlight the hypothetical cases discussed in the NSE debate and the kind of propositions that must be proved in them: «singular» propositions. Second, I will show that there are other cases, also relevant in legal systems, in which the principal factum probandum are «statistical» propositions. Third, I will argue that this difference is substantial for the NSE debate.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.