Simulation for evaluating New Polar Routes and their Strategic Impact on Port Networks and Shipping Lines

Climate change is modifying both human priorities and perspectives and the resulting global warming is changing many aspects, including the North Pole and the Polar Cap, introducing future possibilities concerning shipping over the Eurasian Continent. Obviously, this could result in a major change for the entire world maritime trade impacting the routes connecting Asia and Europe and even Americas. It is claimed that the new possible routes could become convenient for commercial trade, influencing the World Economy, causing development in some regions and crisis in others. The question is if these routes will be commercial and when, as well as if so, what is going to be requirements to be able to use them as well as the impact of this phenomenon on the global scenario and specifically on the Mediterranean. From this point of view, this research developed models to evaluate these changes by adopting an innovative approach based on Strategic Engineering that combines Models, Data Analytics and AI in order to understand Complex Systems and quantify their performance in terms of ship requirements, feasibility, times, costs etc.